North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
37  Erika Kemp SR 19:43
61  Rachel Koon SO 19:51
84  Wesley Frazier JR 19:58
85  Alyssa Rudawsky SO 19:58
134  Ryen Frazier SO 20:08
138  Megan Moye SR 20:09
147  Elly Henes FR 20:10
295  Kaitlyn Kramer SR 20:33
366  Bianca Bishop JR 20:42
441  Bethlehem Taye FR 20:49
533  Megan Vaughn FR 20:59
723  Megan Rempel SO 21:14
731  Rebekah Greengrass FR 21:14
1,558  Theresa Enright FR 22:06
1,705  Lauren Velasco JR 22:15
1,833  Gianna Frontera SO 22:23
National Rank #5 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #1 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Nationals


National Champion 2.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 42.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 74.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 97.0%


Regional Champion 99.9%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erika Kemp Rachel Koon Wesley Frazier Alyssa Rudawsky Ryen Frazier Megan Moye Elly Henes Kaitlyn Kramer Bianca Bishop Bethlehem Taye Megan Vaughn
adidas Challenge 09/16 625 19:53 20:00 20:11 20:44 20:54
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 407 19:40 19:59 20:10 20:03 20:14 20:25 21:01 20:51 20:58
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1054 20:34 20:52 21:05
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 320 19:26 19:44 19:49 20:30 20:06 20:14 21:18
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14
ACC Championships 10/28 357 20:24 19:41 19:58 20:01 20:05 20:23 20:03 20:15 20:41 20:25
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 286 19:27 19:51 19:52 19:50 20:06 20:45 21:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 7.8 281 2.2 9.4 11.3 10.4 9.3 8.6 7.5 5.7 5.8 4.4 3.5 3.7 3.1 3.0 2.2 1.8 1.9 0.9 1.2 1.5 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.0 50 99.9 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erika Kemp 100% 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.6 0.9 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.6
Rachel Koon 100% 62.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.7
Wesley Frazier 100% 84.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4
Alyssa Rudawsky 100% 83.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7
Ryen Frazier 100% 117.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Megan Moye 100% 118.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Elly Henes 100% 120.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erika Kemp 4.8 8.4 10.4 12.2 10.9 10.2 9.4 7.9 6.5 5.9 4.2 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
Rachel Koon 7.8 2.6 4.9 6.0 6.7 7.4 8.2 7.8 7.8 8.3 6.4 6.8 4.8 5.6 3.2 3.4 2.3 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.2
Wesley Frazier 10.9 0.7 1.9 2.6 3.3 5.0 4.4 6.2 6.1 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.7 7.0 5.0 5.3 4.4 4.7 3.0 2.3 2.6 1.4 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.8
Alyssa Rudawsky 10.9 0.8 1.8 2.7 3.7 3.2 5.7 5.5 7.1 7.1 6.7 6.5 7.8 6.6 5.4 4.7 4.9 3.7 3.2 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.9
Ryen Frazier 15.8 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.5 2.3 3.3 4.4 4.9 5.3 6.0 6.6 6.3 7.4 5.3 6.0 4.2 3.5 3.9 3.2 3.5 3.3 2.7
Megan Moye 16.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.8 2.7 3.3 3.3 4.7 4.4 5.4 4.8 5.5 5.5 6.5 5.4 5.7 5.3 3.8 4.6 3.1 3.4 2.9
Elly Henes 17.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.6 3.1 3.9 4.6 5.0 5.8 5.4 6.0 6.2 5.5 5.8 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.9 3.7 2.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 99.9% 100.0% 99.9 99.9 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 100.0% 99.9 0.2 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Providence 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Baylor 99.2% 2.0 2.0
Iowa State 99.0% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 98.6% 2.0 2.0
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 92.0% 3.0 2.8
Yale 92.0% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Michigan 89.5% 1.0 0.9
San Francisco 89.3% 1.0 0.9
BYU 86.9% 1.0 0.9
Utah 84.5% 2.0 1.7
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Villanova 62.9% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 54.6% 1.0 0.5
Minnesota 31.9% 2.0 0.6
California 28.9% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 16.3% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Air Force 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 2.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.4% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 2.0 0.0
Texas 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 3.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 21.4
Minimum 14.0
Maximum 28.0